DENVER (CBS4) – In a regular news briefing on the coronavirus pandemic on Monday, Dr. Jon Samet, the Dean of the Colorado School of Public Health presented several models that show how the epidemic may play out in Colorado. In a graphic summarizing the modeling, Dr. Samet listed that “In most scenarios, we expect the next peak to be larger than the April peak.”

A sign directs people to drop off masks at the new Battelle CCDS Critical Care Decontamination Systems delivered to Colorado by FEMA and HHS on May 8, 2020 in Brighton. The decontamination system can process up to 80,000 used N95 respirators per day using vapor phase hydrogen peroxide that kills coronavirus and allows masks to be reused 20 times without degradation.

A sign directs people to drop off masks at the new Battelle CCDS Critical Care Decontamination Systems delivered to Colorado by FEMA and HHS on May 8 in Brighton. The decontamination system can process up to 80,000 used N95 respirators per day using vapor phase hydrogen peroxide that kills coronavirus and allows masks to be reused 20 times without degradation. (credit: Michael Ciaglo/Getty Images)

The modeling takes into account all the ways the state is currently trying to maintain social distancing: encouraging people to stay 6 feet apart and wear masks as well as asking older Coloradans to stay at home as much as possible. Engaging in all those precautions keeps social distancing at a level of 65%, which according to the modeling will not overwhelm the hospital system.

Battelle decontamination technicians talk as they prepare to run a test of one of the new Battelle CCDS Critical Care Decontamination Systems. (credit: Michael Ciaglo/Getty Images)

If fewer Coloradans adhere to the current health guidelines, and social distancing reaches 55% or even 45% this summer, the modeling shows that hospitals will be overwhelmed and run out of ICU beds by about mid-August.

Dr. Rachel Herlihy

Dr. Rachel Herlihy (credit: CBS)

“As far as what we are asking the public to do, it’s really to have … fewer than half as many interactions as they would normally,” said Dr. Rachel Herlihy, State Epidemiologist at the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment. “So we want individuals to get out and enjoy the summer and get outdoors, but to do it in a safe way and to do it in small groups, and perhaps when you’re interacting with others, you know, do it a bit less frequently than you may have otherwise in previous years.”

Additional Resources

The Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment is releasing new coronavirus data each day at 4 p.m. at covid19.colorado.gov. Health officials are tracking the total number of confirmed cases, people tested, deaths and outbreaks. Confirmed cases are also classified by county, age, sex, race and ethnicity.

CDPHE also launched a website listing the most recent hospital data, including the number of patients currently hospitalized and patients transferred or discharged within 24 hours: covid19.colorado.gov/hospital-data.

Comments (8)
  1. Geoffrey says:

    The World Health Organization says to NOT wear a mask unless you are sick or are caring for someone who is sick.

  2. Kim says:

    I am not giving up my liberty for those that rioted without distancing.
    . Go ahead, make my day!

  3. Dennis Wenthold says:

    Yesterday I was in Safeway in Frederick for 1/2 hour when there were not many people in the store. I had on my mask and all the workers did too but I counted 25 customers in the store without a mask. These are just the ones I saw. Yes, we will have a second wave of COVID-19 if we do not continue to wear masks in public places until we find a cure. This same pattern happened during the Spanish Flu in 1918 and they had to close everything down again in certain cities. The second wave was worse than the first. Please continue to be responsible to protect our front line workers and elderly. I wear a mask to protect you, please wear a mask in public places to protect me, continue to wash your hands and keep a safe physical distance. Please do not be selfish. This is a team effort.

    1. Mike says:

      Sorry Dennis. The mask is a pacifier. If you aren’t sick, there is no reason to wear one. Now it’s a symbol of responsibility and making everyone feel better? I saw the article with Tom Hanks wearing a handkerchief. He’s already had it!!! He’s the problem now. I also see people walking by themselves outside in public with a mask on. They are part of the problem. If it was so important then we should have worn them months ago. Also, unless that mask is of medical grade, then it is also worthless. Oh and if your nose is sticking out… just take it off. Please stop being brainwashed sheep!

    2. Kim says:

      The mask is an experiment in social control.Do you really believe that piece of cotton protects you from a 1 micron virus?

  4. No doubt. The CDPHE and the rest of the public health establishment has ignored all the science indicating that vitamin D supplementation might significantly reduce the number of cases and severity of COVID-19 — if they just ignore all the science that’s being done right now on this very subject until next winter (when people’s vitamin D levels drop due to lack of UVB exposure) and the virus may come roaring back. In the absence of competent people running public health, it is left entirely to individuals to take steps to strengthen their own innate immunity.

  5. neverdem says:

    so the police chief can walk arm in arm without distance or a mask?? the second wave is uber fake news and just an impeachment 5.0 attempt.

  6. Kim says:

    Reason to arrest all of the violent protesters ignoring social distancing.

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