El Nino is still a no-show!
So far this winter the waters off the coast of South America are not too hot and not to cold. Meaning there are no signs that El Nino (warming) or that La Nina (cooling) are showing up to affect our overall weather patterns. This is what forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center in Maryland call “ENSO Neutral”. ENSO is short for “El Nino Southern Oscillation”. Which is one of the global driving factors for weather across North America. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
This weather pattern tends to lead forecasters to expect below normal precipitation from February through April over most of Colorado. That does not mean we will be completely high and dry for the rest of the season. But, it may indicate after seeing a few good snows here and there we may still find ourselves below the averages for snowfall across the central Rockies. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
On average, in an ENSO Neutral situation, temperatures tend to be above normal across the state as well. This is especially true across southern Colorado. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
It looks like at least through the Spring our weather may be more dry and mild than wet and wild. This may not be that great when we are in such need of good moisture. Let’s hope this pattern turns the corner once we get to spring.